Evidence date17 Jul 2026
AreasP09
OutcomeObserved in real data
●   How we do it / Result

Band-specific confidence carried onto a common grid

Question

Can RefCal deliver band-specific confidence and spatial state on real common-grid results, with the evidence carried through to the delivered cells?

Observed in real data How stages are defined

§ 01
The result

What we did

RefCal inspected real Sentinel-2 results on its common delivery grid. One check sampled delivered results from two real swaths to see whether each carried a full confidence vector across all 13 bands. A second check followed the spatial state for one real 696-cell window through processing and into the delivered cells.

What we saw

All six sampled cells returned a full 13-band confidence vector. Spatial state and its contribution to confidence persisted through the real processing path. A subsequent run completed the full 696-cell window and stamped every delivered cell with the active state generation for that run.

What it means

RefCal has carried band-specific confidence and spatial state into real common-grid outputs end to end. That earns an observed-in-real-data stage. It does not yet show that the propagated covariance is scientifically faithful or that the resulting uncertainty has passed independent validation.

§ 02
Conditions and limits
  • This shows that band-specific confidence and spatial state are present on real delivered results; it does not validate the scientific accuracy of those confidence values.
  • The checks do not yet establish that shared uncertainty between bands and cells is propagated faithfully.
  • The delivered confidence vectors were sampled on six cells across two real swaths, while the end-to-end state check covered one 696-cell window. Broader independent validation is still needed.
  • Presence in a production result is an operational observation, not evidence that the underlying uncertainty mechanism is validated.
§ 03
Data and credits
  • Copernicus Sentinel-2 Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2024-2025.
§ 04
Areas of work
§ Contact

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